Hi Tom,
My title: "How to model a climatically driven range expansion"
My goal is to get feedback on what would be the best type of model to do,
given my goals and available data.
Atalopedes campestris is a skipper butterfly that has expanded its
geographic range northward over the past 40 years. Changing temperature
over this period correlates fairly well with the history of range expansion,
and is a good explanation of Atalopedes' persistence in eastern Washington.
I have done a lot of experiments to estimate the importance of abiotic
factors, specifically temperature, in defining the current range limits. I
want to predict how future climatic change will drive further range
expansion in this species.
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Lisa Crozier
Kincaid 458
Department of Zoology, 351800
University of Washington
Seattle, WA 98195
(206) 543-4859 (Lab)
(206) 543-3041 (fax)