|
|
|
Objectives
At the end of this course, the student should be able to
-
Formulate SIS and SIR deterministic models of epidemic and endemic infectious disease transmission.
-
Define, estimate, and interpret the contact number, the basic reproduction number Ro and the replacement number in infectious disease models.
-
Distinguish among the standard frequency-dependent incidence, mass action incidence, and nonlinear incidence in model formulations.
-
Discuss the purposes of infectious disease epidemiological modeling.
-
Explain how an infectious disease can affect a predator-prey process.
-
Describe the concept of a core group in a sexually transmitted disease such as gonorrhea.
-
Discuss the application of mathematical transmission models to describe the infection transmission process and the effects of intervention programs.
-
Describe the process of combining a disease transmission model with a demographic model into an age-structured transmission model.
-
Give examples of how the demographics can influence the disease transmission in a population.
-
Explain the advantages and disadvantages of the two basic vaccination strategies for rubella.
-
Describe the impacts on disease incidence of pertussis vaccinations of children, adults, adolescents, and household members (cocoon strategy).
-
Explain the effects of childhood and adult varicella vaccination strategies on cases of chickenpox (varicella) and shingles (herpes zoster).
-
Discuss the mechanisms in transmission models that can lead to periodicity and oscillations in disease incidence.
-
Explain how the combination of horizontal incidences, waiting times, and epidemiological-demographic interactions can affect the behavior in models with variable population sizes.
-
Use basic components to formulate a deterministic model that is designed to answer a question about a specific infectious disease.
|
|