The Importance of Optimizing Marginal Likelihood's
The asymptotic theory for maximum likelihood estimates
justifies replacing uncertain parameters in a scientific model
by their maximum likelihood estimates.
In many cases, each measurement of a system introduces
new model parameters that are also uncertain.
The asymptotic theory
(as the number of measurements increases)
can not apply to the joint estimation of all of the parameters
because the set of parameters being estimated is not fixed.
On the other hand,
if one integrates out the extra model parameters that
correspond to each measurement,
the set of parameters is fixed and the asymptotic theory can apply.
This talk will present an example where the joint estimate
of all the parameters does not converge to the true value
for the parameters that are same for all the measurements.
It will also show that the maximum marginal likelihood estimates
for these parameters does converge to their true values.